Eurasia Group | Superforecaster Fridays: Ukraine presidential election

Superforecaster Fridays: Ukraine presidential election

19 April 2019
This week's superforecast
Who will win Ukraine's 2019 presidential election?

  • The Superforecasters currently assign a 97% probability that Volodymyr Zelenskiy will win the second round run-off of the Ukrainian presidential election on 21 April. The Superforecasters only assign a 1.90% probability that incumbent Petro Poroshenko will win, down from 12% on 4 April.
  • See the Superforecasters' original forecast of the second round run-off.
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Each Friday, egX clients have the opportunity to submit potential forecast questions to the Superforecaster network. Selected questions are reported back to egx clients each week, with periodic updates provided on previous forecast questions. Good Judgment® helps clients quantify subjective risks for better decisions. Their cutting-edge methods and network of professional Superforecasters deliver accurate and early foresight. Learn more about this forecast and Superforecasting™ techniques here.
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