Eurasia Group | In ‘State of the World’ Speech, Ian Bremmer Discusses Russia’s “Historic Mistake,” US-China Decoupling, and Where We Are Headed in 2023

In ‘State of the World’ Speech, Ian Bremmer Discusses Russia’s “Historic Mistake,” US-China Decoupling, and Where We Are Headed in 2023

Eurasia Group
28 September 2022

TOKYO, 28 September 2022 –– Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer delivered his annual “State of the World” speech today at the GZERO Summit where he presented his vision for where the world is headed in 2023, including the consequences of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the fracturing of the global economy, the future of US-China relations, what comes after the G-Zero, and more. 

Video of Bremmer's speech is available at The speech kicked off the annual GZERO Summit, a conference in Tokyo hosted by Eurasia Group, the world's leading geopolitical risk firm. Journalists wishing to interview Bremmer about his speech can email their requests to [email protected].  A text version of Bremmer's speech can be found here

Bremmer's 'State of the World' speech touched on several key issues, including:
  • Russia, where Bremmer says that Putin's decision to invade Ukraine is a catastrophe that has effectively decoupled Russia from the world's advanced democracies, and has united the West. 
    • “Putin hoped to strengthen Russia, boost its prestige on the world stage, and replenish public confidence in his leadership. But it will soon become obvious, even to ordinary Russians, that Putin has accomplished exactly the opposite.”
  • US-China relations, where Bremmer says that although relations are indeed bad and getting worse, economic and political self-interest will prevent a total breakdown.
    • “Public expressions of hostility … play well with the domestic politics of both countries... The US-China decoupling in tech and security sectors will intensify in coming years, but the interdependence that binds their fates together is becoming more important, not less.”
  • The developing world, where Bremmer says that many of the gains from globalization have now been thrown into reverse, first by COVID and now by the Kremlin.
    • “Developing countries, especially vulnerable to the world's political and economic turmoil and a source of millions of migrants and refugees desperate to escape, will find over the next decade they don't have seats in the lifeboats.”
  • The coming world order(s), where he says there will be no G-1 or G-2 to replace the G-Zero.
    • “Tomorrow's geopolitics will be based not on a single global order, but on multiple coexisting orders, with different actors providing leadership to manage different kinds of challenges.”

The GZERO Summit, which plays host to Bremmer's “State of the World” speech, brings key leaders from Japan and other nations, along with leaders from the private sector, to examine critical issues and opportunities within Asia and around the world. This year's Summit features several notable speakers, including Fumio Kishida, Japan's Prime Minister, Yuriko Koike, Tokyo's Governor, Yoshimasa Hayashi, Japan's Minister of Foreign Affairs, and Taro Kono, Japan's Minister for Digital Transformation. Please click here for a complete list of speakers.


About Ian Bremmer:

Ian Bremmer is a political scientist who helps business leaders, policy makers, and the general public make sense of the world around them. He is president and founder of Eurasia Group, the world's leading political risk research and consulting firm, and GZERO Media, a company dedicated to providing intelligent and engaging coverage of international affairs. He is the host of GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, which airs weekly on US national public television. Ian is also a frequent guest on CNN, Fox News, MSNBC and many others globally. 
A prolific writer, Ian is the author of eleven books, including his latest book “The Power of Crisis: How Three Threats—and Our Response—Will Change the World,” which details a trio of looming global crises (health emergencies, climate change, and technological revolution) and outlines how these crises create global prosperity and opportunity. Ian also serves as the foreign affairs columnist and editor at large for Time magazine. He currently teaches at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs and previously was a professor at New York University.
About Eurasia Group:

Eurasia Group is the world's leading global political risk research and consulting firm. By providing information and insight on how political developments move markets, we help clients anticipate and respond to instability and opportunities everywhere they invest or do business. Our expertise includes developed and developing countries in every region of the world, specific economic sectors, and the business and investment playing fields of the future. With our best-in-class advisory and consulting offerings and GZERO Media, the Eurasia Group umbrella provides the marketplace with a complete political risk solution. Headquartered in New York, we have offices in Washington, London, San Francisco, Brasilia, Sao Paulo, Singapore, and Tokyo, as well as on-the-ground experts and resources in more than a hundred countries. "Politics first” grounds our work: Politics is the lens through which we view the world, and we are committed to analysis that is free of political bias and the influence of private interests.

Media enquiries

Gregory Roth
Director of Communications 
Eurasia Group / GZERO Media
[email protected]