New president Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador is popular, and his party has big congressional majorities, but his bid to roll back the opening of Mexico's economy, orthodox macroeconomic policies, privatizations, and deregulation threaten a return to the 1960s. In 2019, he'll spend money Mexico doesn't have on problems like poverty and security that resist straightforward solutions. And as he centralizes power, policy making will become more erratic.
egx is partnering with
Good Judgment Inc. to share Superforecasts on the Top Risks of 2019.